Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.017934 0.019785 0.021647 0.023657 0.025761 0.027894 0.030214
2025-06-08 0.014128 0.016989 0.019990 0.023348 0.026981 0.030771 0.035006
2025-06-15 0.011969 0.015398 0.019109 0.023370 0.028083 0.033093 0.038783
2025-06-22 0.010106 0.013878 0.018082 0.023022 0.028590 0.034602 0.041521
2025-06-29 0.008487 0.012459 0.017017 0.022493 0.028773 0.035647 0.043647
2025-07-06 0.006876 0.010893 0.015654 0.021507 0.028338 0.035918 0.044836
2025-07-13 0.006168 0.010363 0.015456 0.021822 0.029342 0.037764 0.047745
2025-07-20 0.005357 0.009625 0.014947 0.021718 0.029820 0.038978 0.049913
2025-07-27 0.004621 0.008915 0.014422 0.021551 0.030186 0.040035 0.051874
2025-08-03 0.004265 0.008690 0.014483 0.022078 0.031358 0.042006 0.054866
2025-08-10 0.003674 0.008079 0.014008 0.021912 0.031676 0.042967 0.056683
2025-08-17 0.003088 0.007415 0.013424 0.021575 0.031762 0.043636 0.058144
2025-08-24 0.002609 0.006894 0.013044 0.021534 0.032265 0.044867 0.060353
2025-08-31 0.002096 0.006262 0.012483 0.021252 0.032475 0.045767 0.062201
2025-09-07 0.001738 0.005834 0.012176 0.021272 0.033040 0.047074 0.064509
2025-09-14 0.001343 0.005266 0.011626 0.020941 0.033142 0.047806 0.066128
2025-09-21 0.000974 0.004662 0.010973 0.020438 0.033000 0.048225 0.067360
2025-09-28 0.000600 0.003916 0.010038 0.019500 0.032268 0.047901 0.067685
2025-10-05 0.000483 0.003744 0.009997 0.019799 0.033124 0.049512 0.070316
2025-10-12 0.000335 0.003424 0.009688 0.019701 0.033450 0.050464 0.072150
2025-10-19 0.000211 0.003103 0.009349 0.019542 0.033685 0.051292 0.073828
2025-10-26 0.000169 0.003048 0.009466 0.020043 0.034790 0.053202 0.076809
2025-11-02 0.000090 0.002759 0.009144 0.019885 0.035009 0.053999 0.078441